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Carson Wentz

Carson Wentz Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Commanders

Carson Wentz Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 230.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 231.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 230.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Commanders are a 3-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders as the 7th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 62.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders to be the 3rd-quickest paced defense in football (in a neutral context) at the moment, with opposing offenses averaging 26.71 seconds per play.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Dallas Cowboys defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Carson Wentz has been among the least accurate QBs in the league this year with a 60.6% Completion%, ranking in the 22nd percentile.

Carson Wentz has been among the worst per-play passers in football this year, averaging a lowly 6.45 yards-per-target while grading out in the lowly 25th percentile.

Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 2nd-lowest clip in football vs. the Dallas Cowboys defense since the start of last season (64.5%).

The Dallas Cowboys safeties profile as the 8th-best safety corps in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.

The Dallas Cowboys pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks just 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 5th-fastest in the league since the start of last season.

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