Carson Wentz Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Carson Wentz

NFL · Player Props

Carson Wentz

QB · Washington Commanders

Passing Yards

Detroit Lions vs Washington Commanders · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 7:25 PM UTC

Analysis

Carson Wentz Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 246.5 (-143/+107).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 246.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 246.5 @ -143.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Commanders rank as the 6th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) since the start of last season with a 70.9% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders offense to be the 9th-fastest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 26.30 seconds per snap.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
The Washington Commanders O-line grades out as the 6th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
The Detroit Lions pass defense has shown bad efficiency since the start of last season, giving up 8.46 yards-per-target: the 3rd-most in the league.

Favors Under

Opposing teams have averaged 31.7 pass attempts per game against the Detroit Lions defense since the start of last season: 6th-least in the NFL.
The Washington Commanders have been faced with a stacked the box on a measly 12.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-least in the league. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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