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Carson Wentz

Carson Wentz Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Washington Commanders vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Carson Wentz Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 227.5 (-106/-129).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 231.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 227.5 @ -129.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders as the 7th-fastest paced defense in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 26.90 seconds per play.
  • The Washington Commanders offensive line ranks as the 5th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.
  • Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 2nd-highest level in the NFL vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense since the start of last season (74.5%).
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has shown weak efficiency since the start of last season, surrendering 8.25 yards-per-target: the 5th-most in football.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars cornerbacks project as the 8th-worst collection of CBs in the NFL since the start of last season in pass coverage.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Commanders are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders as the 11th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 56.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.0 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense since the start of last season: 4th-least in football.
  • Carson Wentz has been among the worst quarterbacks in football since the start of last season, averaging 200.0 yards per game while checking in at the 21st percentile.
  • Carson Wentz has been among the least on-target passers in the NFL since the start of last season with a 60.9% Completion%, ranking in the 19th percentile.

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