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Carson Wentz

Carson Wentz Completions
Player Prop Week 6

Chicago Bears vs Washington Commanders

Carson Wentz Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders to be the 9th-most pass-oriented team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 63.7% pass rate.

The Washington Commanders have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 64.0 plays per game.

The Chicago Bears cornerbacks profile as the 4th-worst collection of CBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

The Washington Commanders O-line has allowed their quarterback 2.75 seconds before the pass (2nd-best in the league since the start of last season), which has a positive impact on all air attack metrics across the board.

The Chicago Bears defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.51 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-worst in football since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Commanders to call the 7th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects Carson Wentz to attempt 34.2 passes this week, on average: the 7th-least of all QBs.

Opposing offenses have averaged 30.4 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense this year: 2nd-least in football.

The Washington Commanders O-line grades out as the 8th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.

The Washington Commanders have gone up against a stacked the box on just 12.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-least in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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