Cameron Brate Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Cameron Brate

NFL · Player Props

Cameron Brate

TE · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Receiving Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Cameron Brate Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (+105/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the 4th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 63.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 135.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 39.2 pass attempts per game against the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 6th-most in football.
Cameron Brate has been used less as a potential target this year (64.7% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (41.6%).
THE BLITZ projects Cameron Brate to garner 3.9 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 79th percentile among tight ends.

Favors Under

The Buccaneers are a big 9.5-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
Cameron Brate's ball-catching skills have diminished this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 63.1% to 58.1%.
Cameron Brate has been among the least efficient receivers in the league among tight ends, averaging a mere 5.20 yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 8th percentile.
Cameron Brate has been among the bottom tight ends in the league at generating extra yardage, averaging a measly 2.55 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 8th percentile.
The Pittsburgh Steelers safeties profile as the 7th-best safety corps in the league this year in regard to rushing the passer.

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