Cameron Brate Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Cameron Brate

NFL · Player Props

Cameron Brate

TE · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Receiving Yards

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Green Bay Packers · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 25, 2022 8:30 PM EST

Analysis

Cameron Brate Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-113/-121).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -121 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -121.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 63.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have called the 5th-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 65.6 plays per game.
Cameron Brate has accrued a monstrous 24.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 79th percentile among TEs.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line ranks as the 9th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all pass game metrics across the board.
The Green Bay Packers pass defense has yielded the 7th-highest Completion% in the league (74.7%) versus tight ends since the start of last season (74.7%).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Buccaneers to run the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 59.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Cameron Brate's ball-catching skills have declined this year, with his Completion% falling off from 63.1% to 40.5%.
Cameron Brate's pass-game efficiency has tailed off this season, notching a mere 3.01 yards-per-target compared to a 5.95 figure last season.
Cameron Brate has been among the weakest TEs in the NFL at picking up extra yardage, averaging a lowly 2.69 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 2nd percentile.
The Green Bay Packers linebackers grade out as the 2nd-best group of LBs in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.

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