Cam Sims Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Cam Sims

NFL · Player Props

Cam Sims

WR · Washington Commanders

Receiving Yards

Chicago Bears vs Washington Commanders · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 13, 2022 11:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Cam Sims Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders to be the 9th-most pass-oriented team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 63.7% pass rate.
The Washington Commanders have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 64.0 plays per game.
The Chicago Bears pass defense has given up the 9th-highest Completion% in the league (68.5%) vs. wide receivers this year (68.5%).
The Chicago Bears cornerbacks profile as the 4th-worst collection of CBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.
The Washington Commanders O-line has allowed their quarterback 2.75 seconds before the pass (2nd-best in the league since the start of last season), which has a positive impact on all air attack metrics across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Commanders to call the 7th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 30.4 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense this year: 2nd-least in football.
Cam Sims has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this year (18.5% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (33.6%).
The Washington Commanders O-line grades out as the 8th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
The Chicago Bears defense has allowed the 5th-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 137.0) to wideouts this year.

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