Cam Akers Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Cam Akers

NFL · Player Props

Cam Akers

RB · Minnesota Vikings

Rushing Yards

Minnesota Vikings vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 5, 2023

Updated Oct 8, 2023 7:56 PM UTC

Analysis

Cam Akers Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.2 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
Cam Akers has picked up 50.0 adjusted rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the largest marks in the league among running backs (75th percentile).
The Chiefs safeties project as the 30th-worst safety corps in the league this year in regard to defending the run.

Favors Under

The Vikings are a 3.5-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.
Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Minnesota Vikings to run on 32.1% of their downs: the lowest clip on the slate this week.
The Vikings have called the 7th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 54.5 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
The leading projections forecast Cam Akers to be a much smaller part of his team's running game in this contest (27.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (51.4% in games he has played).

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