Cam Akers Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+195/-255).
Key Factors
Favors Over
The Rams are a 5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Cam Akers has earned 53.3% of his team's red zone rush attempts this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile among running backs.
The Dallas Cowboys defensive tackles rank as the 5th-worst group of DTs in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.
The Los Angeles Rams have gone no-huddle on 15.8% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (3rd-most in football). This quickens the pace, leading to more volume and stat-padding.
Favors Under
Opposing teams have rushed for the least touchdowns in the league (0.25 per game) versus the Dallas Cowboys defense this year.
The Los Angeles Rams have risked going for it on 4th down a measly 14.7% of the time since the start of last season (4th-least in football), which typically means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive stats across the board.