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Cam Akers

Cam Akers Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 15

Green Bay Packers vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Cam Akers Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+220/-300).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +225 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +220.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Cam Akers has been given 55.6% of his offense's red zone rush attempts this year, ranking in the 89th percentile among RBs.
  • Cam Akers has rushed for 0.36 TDs per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the largest marks in the NFL among running backs (79th percentile).
  • Opposing squads have run for the most touchdowns in the NFL (1.08 per game) against the Green Bay Packers defense this year.
  • The Green Bay Packers linebackers rank as the worst collection of LBs in the NFL this year with their run defense.
  • The Green Bay Packers have stacked the box against opponents on just 8.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-least in the league. Choosing not to keep an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Rams are a 6.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
  • The Rams rank as the least run-heavy offense in the NFL near the goal line (adjusted for context) this year with a 36.3% red zone run rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Rams to call the least offensive plays among all teams this week with 60.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Los Angeles Rams have called the least plays in football this year, averaging a mere 55.9 plays per game.
  • The Los Angeles Rams O-line ranks as the worst in the NFL this year at blocking for the run game.

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