Cam Akers Rushing TD - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Cam Akers

NFL · Player Props

Cam Akers

RB · Los Angeles Rams

Rushing TD

Green Bay Packers vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 20, 2022 12:31 AM UTC

Analysis

Cam Akers Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+220/-300).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +225 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +220.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Cam Akers has been given 55.6% of his offense's red zone rush attempts this year, ranking in the 89th percentile among RBs.
Cam Akers has rushed for 0.36 TDs per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the largest marks in the NFL among running backs (79th percentile).
Opposing squads have run for the most touchdowns in the NFL (1.08 per game) against the Green Bay Packers defense this year.
The Green Bay Packers linebackers rank as the worst collection of LBs in the NFL this year with their run defense.
The Green Bay Packers have stacked the box against opponents on just 8.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-least in the league. Choosing not to keep an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

Favors Under

The Rams are a 6.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
The Rams rank as the least run-heavy offense in the NFL near the goal line (adjusted for context) this year with a 36.3% red zone run rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Rams to call the least offensive plays among all teams this week with 60.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Rams have called the least plays in football this year, averaging a mere 55.9 plays per game.
The Los Angeles Rams O-line ranks as the worst in the NFL this year at blocking for the run game.

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