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Cam Akers

Cam Akers Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 13

Los Angeles Rams vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Cam Akers Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+326/-591).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -351 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -591.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Cam Akers has received 47.6% of his offense's red zone carries this year, placing him in the 83rd percentile among RBs.
  • Opposing teams have run for the 6th-most touchdowns in the league (1.18 per game) versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year.
  • The Los Angeles Rams have gone no-huddle on 15.8% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (3rd-most in the NFL). This quickens the pace, leading to more volume and stat-padding.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Rams are a big 7-point underdog in this game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the 10th-least run-oriented offense in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 40.2% red zone run rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the 4th-worst paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, with opposing offenses averaging 29.01 seconds per snap.
  • The Los Angeles Rams offensive line grades out as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year at blocking for rushers.
  • The Seattle Seahawks defensive tackles rank as the 9th-best collection of DTs in football this year when it comes to defending the run.

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