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Cam Akers

Cam Akers Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 11

New Orleans Saints vs Los Angeles Rams

Cam Akers Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+429/-964).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -950 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -964.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Cam Akers has garnered 45.0% of his offense's red zone rush attempts this year, putting him in the 81st percentile among RBs.

The New Orleans Saints have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 13.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-least in the league. Choosing not to keep an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

The Los Angeles Rams have gone no-huddle on 15.8% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (3rd-most in football). This speeds up the pace, resulting in more volume and stat-padding.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Rams have been the 6th-least run-centric offense in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) this year with a 36.2% red zone run rate.

THE BLITZ projects the Rams to call the 6th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.9 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Los Angeles Rams O-line ranks as the worst in the league this year at blocking for rushers.

The New Orleans Saints defensive ends grade out as the 6th-best unit in the NFL this year in regard to stopping the run.

The Los Angeles Rams have elected to go for it on 4th down just 14.7% of the time since the start of last season (3rd-least in football), which usually means less offensive volume, less TD potential, and lower offensive metrics across the board.

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