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Calvin Ridley

Calvin Ridley Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Tennessee Titans vs New England Patriots

Calvin Ridley Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Titans will be rolling with backup QB Mason Rudolph in this game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.

In this contest, Calvin Ridley is projected by the predictive model to find himself in the 81st percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 7.3 targets.

Calvin Ridley's 66.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive volume) ranks among the best in football: 94th percentile for wide receivers.

This year, the shaky Patriots pass defense has been gouged for a colossal 69.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the 7th-worst rate in the NFL.

The Patriots linebackers rank as the 3rd-worst LB corps in the league this year in defending receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 3-point advantage, the Titans are favored in this game, indicating more of a reliance on running than their usual approach.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Tennessee Titans to pass on 53.8% of their downs: the 8th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Tennessee Titans are predicted by our trusted projection set to call just 61.2 plays on offense in this game: the 2nd-lowest number among all teams this week.

The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.

Calvin Ridley's 3.1 adjusted receptions per game this season reflects an impressive reduction in his receiving ability over last season's 4.6 mark.

More Calvin Ridley Player Props

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