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Calvin Ridley

Calvin Ridley Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Detroit Lions vs Tennessee Titans

Calvin Ridley Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+120/-157).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -155 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -157.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Titans will be starting backup quarterback Mason Rudolph in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

The Titans are a massive 12.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Titans to pass on 64.3% of their chances: the greatest rate among all teams this week.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

The Lions defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, leading opposing offenses to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the league (40.0 per game) this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Titans to run the 2nd-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.0 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The 9th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Titans this year (a mere 55.5 per game on average).

The Titans offensive line ranks as the 10th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all passing game statistics across the board.

Calvin Ridley's play as a receiver has tailed off this year, totaling a measly 1.9 adjusted catches vs 4.6 last year.

Calvin Ridley's 34.4% Adjusted Catch Rate this year illustrates a noteworthy regression in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 58.9% rate.

More Calvin Ridley Player Props

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