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Calvin Ridley Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-150/+115).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -139 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +115.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Titans will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Mason Rudolph this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.The Titans are a 4-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.The projections expect Calvin Ridley to notch 8.1 targets in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 85th percentile among WRs.Calvin Ridley has been in the 94th percentile for WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive usage) with an astounding 67.4 figure this year.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The leading projections forecast the Titans to be the 7th-least pass-centric team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 57.9% pass rate.The predictive model expects the Titans to run the 5th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.As it relates to pass protection (and the influence it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Tennessee Titans ranks as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year.Calvin Ridley's possession skills have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 58.9% to 53.7%.As it relates to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Indianapolis's CB corps has been great this year, profiling as the 4th-best in football.
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