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Calvin Ridley

Calvin Ridley Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Tennessee Titans vs Cincinnati Bengals

Calvin Ridley Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-135/+100).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -6-point disadvantage, the Titans are underdogs in this week's contest, indicating more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan.

Opposing QBs have averaged 35.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 9th-most in the NFL.

The projections expect Calvin Ridley to total 8.7 targets in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 88th percentile among WRs.

Calvin Ridley's 69.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit better this season than it was last season at 62.3.

The Bengals safeties profile as the 3rd-worst group of safeties in the NFL this year in defending receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the moment, the 10th-least pass-heavy team in the league (58.9% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Tennessee Titans.

Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Titans are predicted by the model to call just 63.4 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.

The weather report calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.

When talking about pass protection (and the impact it has on all pass attack stats), the offensive line of the Tennessee Titans grades out as the 6th-worst in football this year.

Calvin Ridley's ball-catching skills have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate falling off from 58.9% to 53.4%.

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