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Calvin Ridley

Calvin Ridley Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans

Calvin Ridley Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

An extreme passing game script is suggested by the Titans being a heavy -8-point underdog in this week's game.

The leading projections forecast the Tennessee Titans to be the 4th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 59.1% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.

The predictive model expects Calvin Ridley to notch 9.2 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 95th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

Calvin Ridley's 71.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive volume) has been substantially better this season than it was last season at 62.3.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Titans are forecasted by the projection model to run just 62.8 offensive plays in this contest: the 3rd-lowest number among all teams this week.

The Titans O-line grades out as the 3rd-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all air attack stats across the board.

Calvin Ridley's receiving skills have worsened this season, compiling just 3.5 adjusted receptions vs 4.6 last season.

Calvin Ridley's sure-handedness have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Catch% shrinking from 58.9% to 50.0%.

This year, the imposing Texans defense has allowed a mere 58.6% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing WRs: the 2nd-best rate in football.

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