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Calvin Ridley

Calvin Ridley Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Tennessee Titans vs Minnesota Vikings

Calvin Ridley Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread implies a throwing game script for the Titans, who are -6-point underdogs.

The Vikings defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 4th-most passes in the league (38.0 per game) this year.

This week, Calvin Ridley is predicted by the projection model to rank in the 93rd percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 9.0 targets.

Calvin Ridley's 72.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this year than it was last year at 62.3.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 55.5% rate of throwing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 5th-least pass-centric offense in the league has been the Titans.

Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Tennessee Titans are expected by the projection model to call only 62.6 total plays in this game: the 3rd-lowest number on the slate this week.

Calvin Ridley's 3.4 adjusted receptions per game this year conveys a remarkable decline in his receiving ability over last year's 4.6 mark.

Calvin Ridley's possession skills have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate decreasing from 58.9% to 48.5%.

When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Minnesota's collection of LBs has been one of the most skilled this year, profiling as the 8th-best in the NFL.

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