Calvin Ridley Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Calvin Ridley

NFL · Player Props

Calvin Ridley

WR · Jacksonville Jaguars

Receptions

Buffalo Bills vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 5, 2023

Updated Oct 9, 2023 12:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Calvin Ridley Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -155 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jaguars are a 5.5-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.
Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Jaguars to pass on 61.7% of their plays: the 7th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.
The Jaguars have called the 9th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 61.5 plays per game.
Calvin Ridley has run a route on 88.0% of his offense's passing plays this year, ranking him in the 79th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
In this week's game, Calvin Ridley is anticipated by our trusted projection set to land in the 84th percentile when it comes to WRs with 7.4 targets.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Jaguars to call the 9th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 28.8 pass attempts per game against the Bills defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the NFL.
With a poor 54.0% Adjusted Completion Rate (18th percentile) this year, Calvin Ridley has been among the least sure-handed receivers in football among WRs.
The Bills linebackers grade out as the 4th-best unit in the league this year in pass coverage.

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