Calvin Ridley Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Calvin Ridley

NFL · Player Props

Calvin Ridley

WR · Jacksonville Jaguars

Receptions

Cleveland Browns vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 10, 2023 6:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Calvin Ridley Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-140/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The model projects the Jaguars to be the 9th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 63.4% pass rate.
Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Jacksonville Jaguars are anticipated by our trusted projection set to run 65.7 offensive plays in this contest: the 8th-highest number among all teams this week.
The Jaguars have run the 7th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 55.2 plays per game.
Calvin Ridley has run a route on 92.3% of his team's passing plays this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile among WRs.
The model projects Calvin Ridley to notch 7.4 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 82nd percentile among wide receivers.

Favors Under

Opposing teams teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the Browns, averaging the fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 28.2 per game) this year.
This year, the tough Browns defense has given up a puny 55.5% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wide receivers: the smallest rate in football.
As it relates to defensive ends rushing the passer, Cleveland's collection of DEs has been fantastic this year, ranking as the best in football.

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