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Calvin Ridley

Calvin Ridley Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Jacksonville Jaguars vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Calvin Ridley Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+102/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +102 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +102.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's line implies a passing game script for the Jaguars, who are -3-point underdogs.
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Jaguars to pass on 60.4% of their plays: the 5th-greatest clip on the slate this week.
  • The 9th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Jaguars this year (a whopping 60.5 per game on average).
  • The San Francisco 49ers defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, enticing opposing offenses to attempt the 5th-most passes in the league (39.5 per game) this year.
  • Calvin Ridley has run a route on 92.0% of his team's passing plays this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile among WRs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by the predictive model to see just 125.6 offensive plays run: the 5th-lowest number among all games this week.
  • Calvin Ridley profiles as one of the worst possession receivers in football, catching just 57.4% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 18th percentile among wide receivers
  • As it relates to linebackers in covering receivers, San Francisco's collection of LBs has been great this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

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