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Calvin Ridley

Calvin Ridley Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Calvin Ridley Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 59.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 69.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 59.5 @ -100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Titans will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Mason Rudolph this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • The Titans are a 4-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.
  • The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.
  • The projections expect Calvin Ridley to notch 8.1 targets in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 85th percentile among WRs.
  • In regards to air yards, Calvin Ridley ranks in the towering 99th percentile among wide receivers this year, totaling a whopping 108.0 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Titans to be the 7th-least pass-centric team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 57.9% pass rate.
  • The predictive model expects the Titans to run the 5th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • As it relates to pass protection (and the influence it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Tennessee Titans ranks as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year.
  • Calvin Ridley's 53.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year signifies a remarkable drop-off in his receiving proficiency over last year's 64.0 rate.
  • Calvin Ridley's possession skills have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 58.9% to 53.7%.

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