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Calvin Ridley

Calvin Ridley Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Washington Commanders vs Tennessee Titans

Calvin Ridley Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 59.5 (-139/+107).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 67.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 59.5 @ +107.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Titans are a 6-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.

The model projects Calvin Ridley to accrue 8.3 targets in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 87th percentile among WRs.

As it relates to air yards, Calvin Ridley ranks in the lofty 99th percentile among WRs this year, averaging a colossal 115.0 per game.

Calvin Ridley's 70.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive volume) has been substantially higher this year than it was last year at 62.3.

As it relates to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Washington's collection of CBs has been lousy this year, projecting as the 3rd-worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 10th-least pass-focused team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 58.7% pass rate.

Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Tennessee Titans are forecasted by the predictive model to run only 64.0 total plays in this contest: the 11th-fewest on the slate this week.

Opposing QBs teams have been disinclined to rely on the passing game too much against the Commanders, totaling the fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 29.5 per game) this year.

When talking about pocket protection (and the importance it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the Titans grades out as the 4th-worst in the league this year.

Calvin Ridley's 52.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season shows a material drop-off in his receiving ability over last season's 64.0 mark.

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