Calvin Ridley Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Calvin Ridley

NFL · Player Props

Calvin Ridley

WR · Jacksonville Jaguars

Receiving Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 7:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Calvin Ridley Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 51.5 (-130/+100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

At the moment, the 8th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (63.2% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Jaguars.
The model projects the Jacksonville Jaguars to run the 3rd-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Calvin Ridley has run a route on 92.3% of his team's dropbacks this year, putting him in the 91st percentile when it comes to WRs.
Our trusted projections expect Calvin Ridley to total 7.8 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 83rd percentile when it comes to wideouts.
Calvin Ridley has posted a monstrous 93.0 air yards per game this year: 89th percentile among WRs.

Favors Under

With a lackluster 55.6% Adjusted Catch Rate (11th percentile) this year, Calvin Ridley rates as one of the least sure-handed receivers in the NFL among wide receivers.
Calvin Ridley has been one of the weakest WRs in the NFL at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a lowly 2.33 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 20th percentile.
The Steelers pass defense has surrendered the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (60.7%) vs. wideouts this year (60.7%).

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