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Calvin Ridley

Calvin Ridley Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Calvin Ridley Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 68.5 (-137/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 67.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 68.5 @ -137.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Jaguars offense as the 9th-quickest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.60 seconds per play.
  • The model projects Calvin Ridley to garner 8.4 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 90th percentile among WRs.
  • Calvin Ridley's 60.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in the NFL: 86th percentile for wideouts.
  • The Jaguars O-line grades out as the 9th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all air attack stats across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Jaguars are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • Calvin Ridley has been among the worst possession receivers in the NFL, hauling in a measly 50.6% of passes thrown his way this year, ranking in the 13th percentile among WRs
  • As it relates to safeties rushing the passer, Atlanta's group of safeties has been excellent since the start of last season, ranking as the best in the NFL.

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