Calvin Ridley Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Calvin Ridley

NFL · Player Props

Calvin Ridley

WR · Jacksonville Jaguars

Receiving Yards

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 24, 2023 4:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Calvin Ridley Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 69.5 (-130/+100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 9th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 63.0% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-most plays run among all games this week at 133.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Calvin Ridley to earn 9.4 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 96th percentile among wideouts.
The Jacksonville Jaguars O-line profiles as the 10th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all air attack stats across the board.
The Houston Texans pass defense has struggled when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, yielding an average of 5.35 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 2nd-most in the league.

Favors Under

The Jaguars are a giant 7.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
Opposing teams have averaged 30.5 pass attempts per game against the Houston Texans defense since the start of last season: 5th-least in the NFL.
Calvin Ridley has been among the worst possession receivers in football, catching a mere 54.1% of passes thrown his way this year, checking in at the 15th percentile among WRs
The Houston Texans defense has allowed the 4th-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 126.0) versus wideouts since the start of last season.
The Houston Texans cornerbacks profile as the best unit in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.

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