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Calvin Austin III

Calvin Austin III Receptions
Player Prop Week 19

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Calvin Austin III Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +139 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -9.5-point disadvantage, the Steelers are big underdogs in this week's contest, implying much more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have 130.5 offensive plays run: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.

The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 59.6 plays per game.

The Ravens defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, leading opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 2nd-most passes in football (37.4 per game) this year.

Calvin Austin's 32.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been notably better this season than it was last season at 16.7.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Steelers to be the 6th-least pass-centric offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 57.4% pass rate.

The Ravens safeties grade out as the 5th-best safety corps in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

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