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Calvin Austin III

Calvin Austin III Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Calvin Austin III Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the model to see 134.2 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number among all games this week.
  • The 10th-most plays in football have been called by the Pittsburgh Steelers this year (a massive 59.1 per game on average).
  • The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while rush volume may slide.
  • Calvin Austin has run fewer routes this season (59.0% Route Participation Rate in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (40.3%).
  • Calvin Austin's 61.4% Adjusted Catch Rate this season indicates a remarkable improvement in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 55.7% rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 10th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 55.2% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs linebackers profile as the 4th-best group of LBs in football this year in pass coverage.

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