My Account Log Out

reorder

Calvin Austin III

Calvin Austin III Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Calvin Austin III Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+116/-160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +116.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is implied by the Steelers being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's game.

Right now, the 9th-fastest paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Steelers.

The Ravens defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, allowing opposing QBs to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the NFL (39.9 per game) this year.

Calvin Austin has been less involved as a potential target this season (59.0% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last season (40.3%).

Calvin Austin's 61.4% Adjusted Completion Rate this season shows a significant progression in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 55.7% mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 10th-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 55.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The weatherman calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

This year, the daunting Ravens defense has allowed a paltry 62.9% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing WRs: the 9th-lowest rate in the NFL.

The Ravens safeties grade out as the 3rd-best collection of safeties in football this year in regard to pass rush.

More Calvin Austin III Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™