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Calvin Austin III

Calvin Austin III Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Philadelphia Eagles vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Calvin Austin III Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's line suggests a throwing game script for the Steelers, who are -5.5-point underdogs.

At the moment, the 9th-fastest paced offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) according to the model is the Pittsburgh Steelers.

The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and reduced run volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Calvin Austin has been less involved as a potential target this year (57.0% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (40.3%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 54.6% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

Calvin Austin is positioned as one of the most hard-handed receivers in the league, catching just 56.6% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 15th percentile among WRs

This year, the tough Eagles defense has given up a paltry 60.0% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wideouts: the 3rd-lowest rate in the league.

When it comes to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Philadelphia's CB corps has been tremendous this year, grading out as the best in the league.

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