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Calvin Austin III

Calvin Austin III Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Calvin Austin III Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+140/-180).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +145 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is indicated by the Steelers being a -3-point underdog in this week's contest.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to see 131.4 total plays called: the 4th-most out of all the games this week.

The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 61.6 plays per game.

Calvin Austin's 59.8% Route Participation% this year indicates a meaningful improvement in his passing attack utilization over last year's 40.3% rate.

The Bengals safeties project as the 2nd-worst collection of safeties in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 51.6% of their chances: the 4th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

The Steelers O-line grades out as the 10th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative influence on all pass attack stats across the board.

With a poor 55.1% Adjusted Catch% (14th percentile) this year, Calvin Austin ranks as one of the most unreliable receivers in football among wide receivers.

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