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Calvin Austin III

Calvin Austin III Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Calvin Austin III Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Steelers have called the 6th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a staggering 59.7 plays per game.
  • The weather forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Calvin Austin has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (58.9% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (40.3%).
  • After accumulating 23.0 air yards per game last year, Calvin Austin has seen marked improvement this year, now averaging 36.0 per game.
  • Calvin Austin's 23.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season illustrates a significant boost in his receiving talent over last season's 10.0 rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Steelers are a 3-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Steelers to pass on 49.0% of their opportunities: the lowest clip among all teams this week.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to have the fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 124.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 30.0 pass attempts per game versus the Giants defense this year: fewest in the NFL.
  • Calvin Austin's sure-handedness have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate decreasing from 55.7% to 49.5%.

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