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Calvin Austin III

Calvin Austin III Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Kansas City Chiefs

Calvin Austin III Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the model to see 134.2 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number among all games this week.

The 10th-most plays in football have been called by the Pittsburgh Steelers this year (a massive 59.1 per game on average).

The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while rush volume may slide.

Calvin Austin has run fewer routes this season (59.0% Route Participation Rate in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (40.3%).

Calvin Austin has posted significantly more air yards this season (41.0 per game) than he did last season (23.0 per game).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 10th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 55.2% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The Kansas City Chiefs pass defense has displayed good efficiency against wide receivers this year, conceding 7.80 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 10th-fewest in football.

The Kansas City Chiefs linebackers profile as the 4th-best group of LBs in football this year in pass coverage.

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