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Calvin Austin III

Calvin Austin III Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Calvin Austin III Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 37.5 (-129/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 38.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 37.5 @ -106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is implied by the Steelers being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's game.

Right now, the 9th-fastest paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Steelers.

The Ravens defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, allowing opposing QBs to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the NFL (39.9 per game) this year.

Calvin Austin has been less involved as a potential target this season (59.0% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last season (40.3%).

Calvin Austin has notched significantly more air yards this season (41.0 per game) than he did last season (23.0 per game).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 10th-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 55.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The weatherman calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

This year, the tough Baltimore Ravens pass defense has surrendered the 3rd-least yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing wideouts: a mere 3.5 YAC.

The Ravens safeties grade out as the 3rd-best collection of safeties in football this year in regard to pass rush.

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