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Calvin Austin III

Calvin Austin III Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns

Calvin Austin III Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 34.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects this game to have the most plays run out of all the games this week at 139.0 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 61.4 plays per game.

The Browns pass defense has shown poor efficiency vs. wideouts this year, allowing 9.57 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the most in football.

The Cleveland Browns cornerbacks project as the 10th-worst unit in the league this year in defending receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Steelers are a 6-point favorite this week, likely leading to a running game script.

Our trusted projections expect the Steelers to be the 2nd-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 50.4% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being projected in this game) usually cause lessened passing efficiency, reduced air volume, and increased rush volume.

Opposing teams teams have been hesitant to lean on the pass against the Cleveland Browns, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 31.6 per game) this year.

This year, the daunting Browns defense has conceded a feeble 58.8% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wide receivers: the smallest rate in football.

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