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Calvin Austin III

Calvin Austin III Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Washington Commanders vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Calvin Austin III Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are projected by our trusted projection set to call 65.5 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-highest number on the slate this week.

The Steelers have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a massive 59.6 plays per game.

Calvin Austin has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this season (60.5% Route Participation Rate in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (40.3%).

After accruing 23.0 air yards per game last season, Calvin Austin has undergone big improvement this season, currently boasting 38.0 per game.

Calvin Austin's 27.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season represents an impressive gain in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 10.0 figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 50.8% of their opportunities: the lowest frequency among all teams this week.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.7 pass attempts per game against the Washington Commanders defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the NFL.

As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the effect it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Pittsburgh Steelers profiles as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year.

Calvin Austin profiles as one of the most unreliable receivers in football, catching just 53.7% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 14th percentile among WRs

The Washington Commanders pass defense has been quite strong when opposing WRs have gotten into space, yielding an average of 3.16 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 3rd-fewest in the league.

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