Calvin Austin III Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Calvin Austin III

NFL · Player Props

Calvin Austin III

WR · Pittsburgh Steelers

Receiving Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 5, 2023

Updated Oct 8, 2023 7:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Calvin Austin III Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Steelers are a 4.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Steelers are forecasted by the projection model to run 67.2 total plays in this game: the 2nd-most among all teams this week.
Opposing offenses have averaged 41.5 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.
In this week's contest, Calvin Austin is expected by the projections to place in the 77th percentile among wideouts with 6.7 targets.
Calvin Austin ranks in the 79th percentile when it comes to wide receivers this year with a monstrous 28.0% of his offense's air yards accumulated.

Favors Under

The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 5th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a measly 53.5 plays per game.
The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
The Steelers O-line grades out as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.
With a poor 54.3% Adjusted Completion% (20th percentile) this year, Calvin Austin has been as one of the most hard-handed receivers in the league among WRs.
Calvin Austin has been among the least efficient pass-catchers in football, averaging a measly 4.55 adjusted yards-per-target this year while grading out in the 6th percentile when it comes to wide receivers

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