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Caleb Huntley

Caleb Huntley Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 7

Cincinnati Bengals vs Atlanta Falcons

Caleb Huntley Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+371/-750).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +396 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +371.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons to be the most run-centric offense in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 49.4% red zone run rate.

Caleb Huntley has earned 40.0% of his offense's red zone rush attempts this year, putting him in the 77th percentile among running backs.

The Atlanta Falcons offensive line ranks as the 6th-best in the NFL this year at blocking for rushers.

The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers rank as the 7th-worst group of LBs in the league this year with their run defense.

The Atlanta Falcons have incorporated some form of misdirection on 53.2% of their play-calls since the start of last season (7th-most in the league), which can make an offense more unpredictable and more effective.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Falcons are a 6.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons offense to be the 8th-slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 29.39 seconds per play.

Opposing squads have run for the 2nd-least TDs in the league (0.33 per game) vs. the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year.

The Atlanta Falcons have gone up against a stacked the box on 17.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-most in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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