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Cade Otton

Cade Otton Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Kansas City Chiefs vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Cade Otton Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-234/+165).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -234.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -8.5-point disadvantage, the Buccaneers are heavy underdogs in this week's game, suggesting much more of a focus on throwing than their typical approach.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 63.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the projections to have 130.0 total plays run: the 5th-most out of all the games this week.
  • The projections expect Cade Otton to accumulate 8.1 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 96th percentile among tight ends.
  • Cade Otton's 39.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially better this year than it was last year at 26.1.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a poor 72.7% Adjusted Completion Rate (23rd percentile) this year, Cade Otton has been as one of the least sure-handed receivers in the league among TEs.
  • When it comes to defensive tackles getting after the quarterback, Kansas City's unit has been terrific this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in the league.

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