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Cade Otton

Cade Otton Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Los Angeles Chargers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Cade Otton Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-152/+117).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -148 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +117.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the moment, the 8th-most pass-centric offense in football (62.6% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Buccaneers.

The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm weather conditions (0-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may suffer.

In this week's contest, Cade Otton is expected by the predictive model to find himself in the 93rd percentile among tight ends with 6.5 targets.

Cade Otton's 19.5% Target Share this season reflects a meaningful improvement in his pass attack usage over last season's 12.8% figure.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line ranks as the 4th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all air attack metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects this game to see the 3rd-fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 127.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

With a poor 71.0% Adjusted Catch% (18th percentile) this year, Cade Otton has been among the most unreliable receivers in the league among tight ends.

The Los Angeles Chargers linebackers rank as the 3rd-best collection of LBs in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.

More Cade Otton Player Props

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