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Cade Otton

Cade Otton Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

New York Giants vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Cade Otton Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -155 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Buccaneers to be the 4th-most pass-focused offense in football (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 63.2% pass rate.

Our trusted projections expect Cade Otton to accrue 7.3 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 96th percentile among TEs.

Cade Otton has been a more integral piece of his team's passing offense this year (20.6% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (12.8%).

The Buccaneers O-line ranks as the 9th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all passing offense stats across the board.

Cade Otton's 4.9 adjusted receptions per game this season conveys a substantial growth in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 2.9 figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Buccaneers are a 6-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a running game script.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the predictive model to see only 126.8 plays on offense run: the 2nd-fewest out of all the games this week.

The weather report calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.

Opposing offenses have averaged 28.7 pass attempts per game versus the New York Giants defense this year: fewest in football.

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