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Cade Otton

Cade Otton Receptions
Player Prop Week 20

Detroit Lions vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Cade Otton Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.0 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 4.0 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Buccaneers are a 6.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Cade Otton has run fewer routes this year (88.9% Route Participation Rate in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (63.9%).
  • In this contest, Cade Otton is forecasted by our trusted projection set to land in the 77th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 5.0 targets.
  • With an exceptional 3.2 adjusted catches per game (75th percentile) this year, Cade Otton ranks among the top TEs in the pass game in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Buccaneers to call the fewest total plays on the slate this week with 63.3 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • This year, the stout Detroit Lions defense has allowed a meager 67.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the 2nd-best rate in football.

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