Cade Otton Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 2

NFL · Player Props

Cade Otton

TE · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Receptions

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Chicago Bears · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 17, 2023 8:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Cade Otton Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-121/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -121.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have called the most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 63.8 plays per game.
Cade Otton has run a route on 64.5% of his team's passing plays since the start of last season, ranking him in the 79th percentile among TEs.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line profiles as the best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all air attack stats across the board.
Cade Otton has been among the leading pass-catching TEs since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 2.9 receptions per game while ranking in the 75th percentile.
The Chicago Bears pass defense has yielded the 7th-highest Completion% in football (75.1%) vs. TEs since the start of last season (75.1%).

Favors Under

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Dave Canales, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 7.6% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the 7th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 53.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Buccaneers to run the 8th-least total plays on the slate this week with 62.7 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 27.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season: least in the league.
Cade Otton has been among the most hard-handed receivers in football among tight ends, hauling in just 66.5% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, grading out in the 22nd percentile.