Cade Otton Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Cade Otton

NFL · Player Props

Cade Otton

TE · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Receptions

Green Bay Packers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 6:06 PM EST

Analysis

Cade Otton Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-155/+125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game's line suggests a throwing game script for the Buccaneers, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
Cade Otton has been used less as a potential target this season (87.5% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (63.9%).
The model projects Cade Otton to garner 4.3 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 76th percentile among tight ends.
Cade Otton profiles as one of the leading pass-catching TEs this year, averaging a stellar 3.3 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 76th percentile.
Cade Otton's sure-handedness have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 66.2% to 72.3%.

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Buccaneers are anticipated by the model to run only 63.4 total plays in this contest: the 6th-fewest among all teams this week.
Opposing offenses have averaged 33.7 pass attempts per game against the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 8th-fewest in football.

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