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Cade Otton

Cade Otton Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers

Cade Otton Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+104/-132).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -132.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Cade Otton has been used less as a potential target this season (86.7% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (63.9%).

Our trusted projections expect Cade Otton to accumulate 4.7 targets in this game, on balance, putting him in the 84th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

Cade Otton's ball-catching skills have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 66.2% to 75.2%.

The Carolina Panthers pass defense has been torched for the 8th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (77.1%) vs. TEs this year (77.1%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Buccaneers offensive strategy to tilt 4.6% more towards the run game than it did last season (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Dave Canales now calling the plays.

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Buccaneers are favored in this game, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their usual approach.

The model projects this game to see the 4th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 128.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing teams have averaged 30.2 pass attempts per game against the Carolina Panthers defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the league.

The Carolina Panthers linebackers grade out as the 4th-best LB corps in the NFL this year in regard to pass rush.

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