Cade Otton Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Cade Otton

NFL · Player Props

Cade Otton

TE · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Receptions

Indianapolis Colts vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 26, 2023 8:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Cade Otton Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Buccaneers to pass on 61.2% of their downs: the 9th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Cade Otton's 86.4% Route% this season marks a meaningful improvement in his passing attack volume over last season's 63.9% figure.
In this contest, Cade Otton is forecasted by the predictive model to rank in the 83rd percentile when it comes to tight ends with 5.0 targets.
Cade Otton profiles as one of the leading TE receiving threats this year, averaging an excellent 3.4 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 75th percentile.

Favors Under

Our trusted projections expect the Buccaneers offensive scheme to tilt 4.3% more towards the rushing attack than it did last year (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Dave Canales now calling the plays.
Opposing teams have played at the 10th-slowest pace in football (adjusted for context) against the Buccaneers defense this year, averaging 28.03 seconds per play.
The Indianapolis Colts safeties rank as the 4th-best safety corps in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

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