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Cade Otton

Cade Otton Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Cade Otton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 32.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Buccaneers are a 3-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Buccaneers to pass on 63.3% of their opportunities: the highest clip among all teams this week.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 128.1 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Cade Otton has run a route on 86.2% of his team's passing plays this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile among TEs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Cade Otton has compiled far fewer air yards this year (18.0 per game) than he did last year (29.0 per game).
  • As it relates to pocket protection (and the effect it has on all air attack stats), the offensive line of the Buccaneers grades out as the 9th-worst in the league this year.
  • Cade Otton's 5.7 adjusted yards per target this season shows an impressive drop-off in his receiving proficiency over last season's 7.0 figure.
  • The Atlanta Falcons defense has yielded the 6th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 28.0) vs. tight ends this year.
  • The Falcons pass defense has surrendered the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (70.1%) vs. tight ends since the start of last season (70.1%).

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