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Cade Otton

Cade Otton Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 19

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Washington Commanders

Cade Otton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-110/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 9th-most pass-heavy team in football (62.0% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Buccaneers.

The 10th-highest number of plays in the league have been run by the Buccaneers this year (a colossal 58.9 per game on average).

Still weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being called for in this game) typically cause increased passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased air attack volume, and lower run volume.

In this week's contest, Cade Otton is expected by the projection model to find himself in the 91st percentile when it comes to TEs with 5.7 targets.

Cade Otton has been much more involved in his team's passing attack this season (19.0% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (12.7%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A rushing game script is indicated by the Buccaneers being a 3-point favorite this week.

The predictive model expects the Buccaneers to call the fewest total plays on the slate this week with 63.7 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to rely on the passing game too much against the Commanders, averaging the fewest attempts in the NFL (just 28.9 per game) this year.

With a poor 70.6% Adjusted Catch Rate (21st percentile) this year, Cade Otton has been among the worst possession receivers in the league among TEs.

The Commanders defense has yielded the 9th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 42.0) versus TEs this year.

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