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Cade Otton

Cade Otton Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Houston Texans vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Cade Otton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 27.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to pass on 61.5% of their plays: the 8th-highest clip on the slate this week.

The projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to run the 8th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.4 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

Cade Otton's 85.1% Route Participation Rate this year illustrates a noteable progression in his passing game workload over last year's 63.9% figure.

This week, Cade Otton is forecasted by the predictive model to slot into the 84th percentile among TEs with 4.7 targets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive blueprint to skew 3.9% more towards rushing than it did last year (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Dave Canales now calling the plays.

The 9th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers this year (just 56.7 per game on average).

With a lackluster 5.9 adjusted yards per target (22nd percentile) this year, Cade Otton stands among the worst pass-game TEs in football.

Cade Otton has been one of the bottom TEs in the NFL at generating extra yardage, averaging a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 2nd percentile.

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