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Cade Otton

Cade Otton Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Cade Otton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Cade Otton's 84.4% Route Participation Rate this year indicates a a remarkable boost in his passing offense utilization over last year's 63.9% mark.
  • The Tampa Bay O-line grades out as the 8th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong influence on all passing game stats across the board.
  • Cade Otton's 76.1% Adjusted Completion Rate this season signifies a a remarkable growth in his pass-catching talent over last season's 66.2% rate.
  • The Falcons defense has yielded the 8th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (53.0) vs. TEs this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Buccaneers offensive blueprint to lean 6.0% more towards the run game than it did last year (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Dave Canales now calling the plays.
  • The Buccaneers are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a running game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to pass on 55.3% of their chances: the 8th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Buccaneers are predicted by the model to run only 63.1 total plays in this game: the 9th-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • The 10th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers this year (just 55.6 per game on average).

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